A November to remember 🎆

Week 3-5 of M.M.M Challenge

Welcome champions, to the heart of our 6-week journey

“The Mindset Money Matters 6 Week Challenge!”

Last week, we created a detailed plan and picked our accountability partner. If you don’t have one, let us know and we’ll be your partner. 🙋‍♂️

Join the conversation and share yours at the bottom of this post — it may help motivate somebody else reading.

Week 3 - 5

The next 3 weeks is about implementing and practicing your plan and then journaling to analyze what works, what doesn’t and how you are feeling.

Implement - break up the detailed SMART plan you created last week into small daily practices for the week. Let’s put it into action!

If your challenge is conquering procrastination, your SMART plan would include:

  • Dedicating specific time blocks for tasks

  • Setting realistic deadlines

  • Creating a reward system to stay motivated while completing tasks

If your challenge is becoming more financially savvy, your SMART plan would be more about:

  • Breaking bad habits

  • Cultivating new ones that align with your aspirations

  • We mentioned some here to help start you off

Practice 

Procrastination challengers:

  • Set a timer for 15, 25, 45 minutes (depending on the task at hand) to focus on completing it

  • Did you miss a deadline?

  • Analyze why…did you get distracted? Experienced a lack of interest? Fear crept in?

  • After journaling why, try another technique such as Pomodoro, changing your environment, leaving your phone in another room, unplugging the TV, etc.

Becoming more financially savvy challengers:

  • Plan to save or invest 10% of your weekly income

  • Set up automatic transfers to your savings or brokerage account to make things easy

  • Research investment options

  • Spend 15 minutes a day reviewing financial news

  • Attend a financial literacy workshop at least once a week

  • Follow and engage with financial education blogs (like ours) to learn something new weekly

Journaling - after each day, reflect on what worked, what didn’t and how you felt. The goal here is to uncover patterns and discover your triggers.

For our procrastination challengers: 

  • Write down instances where you successfully tackled tasks head-on and moments where procrastination came in

  • How did you feel when you started the task?

  • What was the hardest part during and how’d you feel once completed?

For our financially savvy challengers: 

  • Write down how much is in your savings account before starting

  • Note your daily/weekly spending patterns, emotional responses and areas of improvement

  • Recognize improvements in understanding financial concepts

  • Set goals for reaching key milestones - $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, etc.

The next couple of weeks will be challenging and a lot of it will be on you now that we’ve given you the blueprint.

So remember when frustration clouds your vision, that’s part of the journey. You're breaking free from the chains of old habits, and that's not easy.

Fuel your momentum with positive energy.

Connect with us and fellow challengers — share your experiences below under “Join the conversation”. Let’s draw inspiration from each other.

Here is a quick recap of Markets for the Week of December 1st, 2023 and what we are watching this week 👨‍🏫

November was the best month for global equities in 3 years.

The S&P 500 was up +9% and had one of its best months in the last 50 years. The Dow Jones Index finished the week with its longest winning streak since 2021.

Fear of missing out on further gains in this seasonally strong period for the market contributed to the positive action this week, along with the drop in treasury rates and rethinking rate cuts in the first half of 2024.

Investors received a slate of economic data this week that continue to look consistent with a soft landing scenario for the economy, AKA possibly avoiding a major recession.🛬

Did Christmas come early for investors or are we just getting started? 🎄

Here are the key points from last week:

  • Upward revision to Q3 real GDP to 5.2% from 4.9%- the U.S. economy was booming in the third quarter despite higher interest rates, aided by a strong labor market and disinflation that fueled healthy consumer spending activity.

  • Treasury yields - 2-yr note yield plunged 39 basis points this week to 4.55%. The 10-yr note yield declined -25 basis points to 4.21%. Great news for risk-on assets like stocks, options, and crypto.

  • Disinflation in the PCE Price Indexes in October - which is good, however the 3.5% in core PCE (which is what the Fed focuses on) remains well above the 2.0% target. It's moving in the right direction fortunately, but that isn't the type of reading that will move the Fed to think about cutting rates soon.

  • Fed Speakers - Richmond Fed President Barkin (2024 FOMC voter), Fed Governor Bowman (FOMC voter), and Fed Chair Powell all made comments this week indicating that they believe it is premature to talk rate cuts.

S&P 500 heat map last week

Sector Performance last week and for November

The Week Ahead

Monday, December 4th - Friday, December 8th, 2023

The attention this week will be focused on:

  • Employment Situation - A 180,000 rise in consensus for nonfarm payroll growth in November vs. 150,000 in October. Average hourly earnings in November are expected to rise 0.3% on the month for a year-over-year rate of 4.0%; this would compare with 0.2 and 4.1% in October which were roughly as expected. November's unemployment rate is expected to hold unchanged at 3.9%.

     

    - The employment situation is a set of monthly labor market indicators based on two separate reports: the establishment survey which tracks 650,000 worksites and the household survey which interviews 60,000 households.

  • Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey JOLTS - 9.4 million is the consensus for October vs. the 9.55 million in September.

    - The Labor Department's JOLTS report tracks monthly change in job openings and offers rates on hiring and quits. The reporting period lags other employment data including the employment situation report.

Most anticipated earnings this week

$SPY: S&P 500 remains in a steep uptrending channel and after consolidating in a tight range last week popped on Friday to tag our 458 price target (see here).

The S&P 500 had a +9% rally in November, which is very strong, but does it have enough energy to get through 460-465 resistance and all time highs from January 2022? That’s what we will find out in the next 2-3 weeks.

Did Christmas just come early?

SPY over 460 trades to 465,468,470. Under 455 pulls back to 452,448,445,440

$QQQ: also had a strong November +10.8% but mostly consolidated last week after failing to get over that 392 resistance we mentioned here.

Its all time highs of 395-400 is less than 3% away….will it have the energy to break it?

QQQ over 392 trades to 395,398,400,405. Failure to hold 388 pulls back to 384,378,373.

I do a weekly Markets analysis every Monday during Office Hours @ 8:30pm EST via Zoom for the Ceni Capital Community. I will discuss if the Christmas Rally came early this year, if we should be more cautious the rest of December, and the stocks I’m watching for swing trades this week.

Trades Recap 📊

Here are how some of our callouts did last week:

Interested in getting our swing trade alerts ahead of time?

Comment at the bottom of this post or just reply “Swing trade alerts” for more information.

$COIN: Coinbase continued it’s tear trading over our $130 target mentioned here and up +80% since our callout on October 16th. It’s starting to look parabolic but if Bitcoin breaks over $40,000, Coin trades to $150.

Please do not chase it up here if you are not already in it. 🙄

There will be more opportunities — just make sure you catch them by getting our swing trades LIVE the moment we enter. Join the conversation below for how.

COIN over 135 trades to 145,155,165. Failure to hold 125 pulls back to 115,105,95

🚘 $UBER: traded through our next price target (see here) of $60 in after-hours Friday after being added to the S&P 500. Our swing is now up 100% from our callout back on April 28th, 2023.

UBER over 62 trades to 65,68,70,75. Under 55 pulls back to 52,48,45

🥇$NUGT: With Gold breaking out to all time highs our NUGT swing trade tags the first price target of $36 for +24% since our callout. Usually Gold going up isn’t good for risk on assets like stocks, but if it continues our NUGT swing is just getting started.

NUGT over 36 trades to 38,40,45,48. Under 35 pulls back to 32 and 30

Watchlist 👨‍🏫

Here are some charts we are watching this week:

$AMZN: As most of the Magnificent 7 and Tech sold off last week, Amazon showed relative strength consolidating. It is up +24% since its October lows but if it can get through that $148-$150 resistance it has some room to $165-$170. Not overnight of course, but still a nice Christmas gift.

AMZN over 148 trades to 150,155,158,160. Failure to hold 144 pulls back to 140,136,133

$IWM: Russell 2000 small caps are finally playing catch up as this sector will benefit the most once the Fed begins to drop interest rates and where the real money will be made!

We have been talking about small caps during Office Hours since the beginning of November and after 2 weeks of consolidation; it gave us its big breakout on Friday trading to our first price target of $185.

As money has shifted from Tech to Growth, IWM should see some continuation heading into the end of the year.

IWM over 185 trades to 188,190,193,195. Under 182 pulls back to 180,178,175

$ALT: VERY SPECULATIVE HIGH RISK trade so only invest what you don’t mind losing.

Altimmune is a low float junkie that will be looking to pump their stock in order to finance their day to day operations. DO NOT fall in love with the stock nor think they will actually do what they say….please…because I will say I told you so.

That being said, I am not pumping the stock just simply know the setup.

Late Thursday, Altimmune said its experimental obesity drug helped reduce weight by 15.6% on average in a mid-stage study that included 391 people enrolled. Their drug will not cure obesity nor probably get anywhere to be honest. BUT with obesity being a huge problem, they will make this sound like the next Eli Lilly (a real pharmaceutical company) that has an active working obesity drug called Zepbound or Novo’s Ozempic.

So we are here strictly to trade momentum- get our money and go.

ALT over 4 trades to 4.50,5,5.50,6, and 7. Support at 3

*None of these stocks above are recommendations to buy, sell or trade. We do not give financial advice, you should always do your own due diligence and practice proper risk management.*

Learn to make your money work harder for you, rather than you chasing it. 

If you are interested in getting our swing trade alerts ahead of time, comment below “I am interested ” for more information.

In the face of frustration, whisper to yourself: I am a work in progress, not perfection. Then smile and keep at it 🙂

I value your time and will strive to keep the content easy to read and short enough to get to the point!

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See you next week! 👋

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