Road to 500 📈

Amazon & Meta lead markets higher

Here is a quick recap of Markets for the Week of February 2nd, 2024 and what we are watching this week 👨‍🏫

Last week was a busy week of news and blockbuster earnings results. Ultimately, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at fresh all-time highs on Friday as the major indices all logged gains, except the Russell 2000.

The underperformance of the small cap index was related to weakness in regional bank stocks after New York Community Bank $NYCB reported that its provision for credit losses in the fourth quarter totaled $552 million compared to a $62 million for the three months ended September 2023. The increase, was primarily attributable to higher net charge-offs, weakness in the office sector and potential repricing risk in the multi-family portfolio.

Was this an isolated incident or are the Regional Banks hinting something?

Here are the key points from last week:

  • FOMC rate decision - The committee voted unanimously to leave the target range for the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. Fed Chair Powell spoke specifically about the possibility of a March rate cut, saying "I don't think it is likely that the Committee will reach a level of confidence by the time of the March meeting to identify March as the time to do that (cut rates), but that is to be seen."

  • Recalibration of rate cut expectations - following more strong economic data. January Employment Situation Report featured a big upside surprise in payroll growth accompanied by a larger than expected increase in average hourly earnings.

  • Mega Cap Earnings report - Alphabet (GOOG) -6.7% decline, Microsoft (MSFT) +1.8%, Apple (AAPL) -3.4%, Amazon (AMZN) +8%, and Meta Platforms (META) +20.5% for the week after reporting earnings.

S&P 500 Heat map for the week

Sector Performance Breakdown

The Week Ahead

Monday, February 5th - Friday, February 9th, 2024

The attention this week will be focused on:

  • Treasury note auctions - The last couple of weeks, markets have been putting extra emphasizes on the demand of treasury notes. Weak demand have had negative sharp intraday reactions by markets.

    -Usually, bond market players are forward-looking and this means that interest rates on Treasury securities will move in the direction of Fed policy with a lead.

  • Consumer Credit - Consumer credit is expected to increase $16.2 billion in December versus a surprisingly strong increase of $23.7 billion in November.

    -The dollar value of consumer installment credit outstanding. Changes in consumer credit indicate the state of consumer finances and portend future spending patterns. The report includes credit cards, vehicle loans, and student loans; mortgages are not included.

  • FOMC Members - Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester, and Adriana Kugler will all give speeches at different events this week.

    -Investors will be interested in their tone and look for hints for the Fed’s March meeting.

Most Anticipated Earnings this week

$SPY:  S&P 500 continued its trend of weekly new highs last week on its way to 500. Mega caps did their part when it came to earnings so now it’s up to the laggers - growth and value names.

Click the chart below for a quick video explaining the Fed’s rate decision and what levels to look for in the next couple of weeks.

Have your shopping list ready because a 5-10% pull back will create wealth for investors!

I do a weekly Markets analysis every Monday during “Office Hours” 8:30pm EST via zoom for the Ceni Capital Community I will be speaking about the companies reporting earnings his week and the stocks I am watching.

Trades Recap 📊

If you are interested in making your money work for you by getting our swing trade alerts ahead of time, reply back or comment “Swing Trade alerts” below for more information.

$ONMD: was a high risk play we traded last week for +30% gain in 2 days. Company announced news on Monday and traded very strong volume compared to its average. It had continuation 2 and 3 days later trading to our $2 price target but couldn’t hold over it.

$TGT: Our Target swing tagged our next price target at $145 for +10.5% gain from our $131.58 entry. Chart remains strong and on its way to $150-$160.

Learn to make your money work for you, rather than you chasing it. 

Watchlist 👨‍🏫

$PLTR: Palantir Technologies is reporting earnings on Monday after the close. Wall St is looking for EPS .08 per share and quarterly revenue of $602.4 million. The stock has been trading sideways after its big rally in May 2023.

PLTR over 18 trades to 20,24,28,30. Failure to hold 16 pulls back to 14,10,8

$SNAP: Snapchat is never a disappointment with BIG earnings movement the last couple of quarters, is reporting on Tuesday. Wall St is looking for EPS .07 per share representing a y/y decline of 50% and revenue to be $1.39 billion, showing a 6.69% escalation compared to the year-ago.

The chart still needs a lot of work but over $18 sets up a +22% move.

SNAP over 18 trades to 20,22,25. Failure to hold 15.50 pulls back to 13 and 11

$UBER: Uber our swing from $30 has had an incredible run since April 2023 up +122%; is reporting earnings on Wednesday. Uber has been a successful growth name story dominating its sector but is it time for it to cool off some and begin pulling back?

Wall St is projecting earnings of .15 per share, representing a decline of 48.3% year over year. Revenues are projected to reach $9.75 billion, increasing 13.2% from the same quarter last year.

UBER over 70 trades to 75,80,85. Failure to hold 65 pulls back to 60,55,50

$PYPL: After a disappointing AI event a couple of weeks back can PayPal surprise with earnings on Wednesday and finally begin to write its turnaround story?

Wall Street is projecting earnings of $1.36 per share, reflecting an increase of 9.7% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $7.88 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 6.8%.

PYPL over 65 trades to 68,72,76,85. Under 60 pulls back to 55 and 50

$PINS: Pinterest is another growth name reporting earnings on Thursday. After Meta’s impressive earnings last week, investors will look to see if Pinterest is keeping up with the times.

Wall St. is expecting an EPS of $0.51, indicating a 75.86% growth compared to the equivalent quarter last year and revenue of $988.62 million, up 12.7% from the year-ago period.

PINS over 40 trades to 45,48,50. Failure to hold 35 pulls back to 30 and 25

If you are interested in getting our swing trade alerts ahead of time, reply back or comment Swing Trades below for more information.

*None of these stocks above are recommendations to buy, sell or trade. We do not give financial advice, you should always do your own due diligence and practice proper risk management.*

What are you looking to do different this year that will change where you are a year from now?

Need help where to start?

Here 

I value your time and will strive to keep the content easy to read and short enough to get to the point!

If you would like to support this free newsletter, here are the most helpful ways:

  •  🏹Forward the newsletter to your friends, family or anyone who you feel it may help- they can subscribe here

  •  📲 Screenshot your favorite part, share it on your stories and tag me @SnowfishTrading @Mindset.Money.Matters

  •  📨 Reply back with any questions or topics you would like more information on

See you next week! 👋

Reply

or to participate.