Soft Bounce Back

Meaningful rally in store?

Here is a quick recap of Markets for the Week of April 26th, 2024 and what we are watching this week

Some rebound action after a soft start to the month

S&P 500 +2.7% 

Nasdaq Composite +4.2%

Dow Jones Industrial Average $DJI +0.7%

Upside bias was fueled by favorable responses to earnings from some influential names, calm price action in Treasuries, and carryover momentum as gains built up this week.

Here are the key points from last week:

  • Mega Cap Earnings πŸ“ˆ - positive earnings reaction from Microsoft (MSFT) +1.8%, Alphabet (GOOG) +11.5%, Tesla (TSLA) +14.4% shifted the weak market sentiment. Meta Platforms (META) -7.9% and Intel (INTC) -6.78% were the lone exceptions.

  • Advance Q1 GDP Report - showed weaker growth and higher inflation.

  • March Personal Income and Spending - report showed solid spending activity but stalled progress on inflation. Supporting the higher rates for longer camp.

S&P 500 Heat map for the week

Sector Performance Breakdown

The Week Ahead

Monday, April 29th - Friday, May 3rd, 2024

Attention this week will be focused on:

  • FOMC Announcement and Powell Press Conference - no rates change, no policy headlines, no new guidance on rates, only repetition that more progress on inflation is needed before cuts can begin is what is expected on Wednesday.

    - FOMC meeting announcement is a policy statement issued at the conclusion of each meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. It offers updates on economic conditions with special focus on the health of the labor market and the latest on inflation. It also updates the status of the federal funds target which is the FOMC's official policy interest rate.

  • Employment Situation- A strong 230,000 rise is the call for nonfarm payroll growth in April vs. 303,000 in March which for a 5th month in a row exceeded Econoday's consensus. April's unemployment rate is expected to hold unchanged at March's 3.8%.

    - The employment situation is a set of monthly labor market indicators based on two separate reports: the establishment survey which tracks 650,000 worksites and offers the nonfarm payroll and average hourly earnings headlines and the household survey which interviews 60,000 households and generates the unemployment rate.

    Nonfarm payrolls track the number of part-time and full-time employees in both business and government.

Most Anticipated Earnings this week

$SPY: S&P 500 had a decent +2.7% bounce as we wrote to look out for last week.

Now is it a dead cat bounce or will we actually see follow through the next 2-3 weeks, only earnings will tell. Stay tuned to see what we are looking for.

The FED are expected to leave rates unchanged with a return to hawkish tone from Chairman Powell due to the stubborn inflation data. πŸ™‰

SPY over 510 trades to 512,515,518 and 520. Under 506 to 504,500,496,493.

Click below for a short video format of the watchlist and some bonus names which premium members get every week.

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I do a weekly Markets analysis every Monday at 8:30pm EST via zoom for the Ceni Capital Community This week, I will speak about this market bounce and what I am watching for a meaningful rally to set up, stocks reporting earnings this week and charts I am watching for potential Swing Trades.

Trades Recap πŸ“Š

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🚘 $TSLA: Tesla from our watchlist gave us a +14% or $20pt move tagging 2 of our price targets we wrote about last week.

 $META: Meta Platforms gave us a 11.7% or $55pts move down after earnings which we warned about here last week.

If you are interested in getting our swing trade alerts ahead of time, reply back or comment Swing Trades below for more information.

🚨Watchlist πŸ‘¨β€πŸ«

$AMZN: Amazon is set to report earnings on Tuesday, it broke its steep rising channel 2 weeks ago and got a dead cat bounce last week.

Wall Street expects Q1 EPS .84c on $142.63 billion revenue.

AMZN over 180 trades to 185,190,195,200. Under 175 trades down to 168,164,160.

πŸ’Ύ$AMD: AMD is also reporting earnings on Tuesday. It’s down 30% from its highs in early March and the weakest semiconductor out of the sector.

Wall St expects EPS of .62c and $5.48 billion revenue.

AMD is in a steep downtrending channel and at a critical level if it wants to set up for any kind of meaningful rally.

AMD over 160 trades to 165,175,185. Failure to hold 148 trades down to 140 and 130.

🍎 $AAPL: Apple is set to report earnings on Thursday down 13.50% from its January highs. With a lot of negative sentiment going into to this earnings, can they surprise with any news ahead of its AI event May 7th.

Wall Street expects EPS of $1.50 with $90.34 billion revenue, a y/y decline in earnings on lower revenues.

AAPL over 176 trades to 180,185,195. Under 165 trades down to 155 and 150.

$COIN: Coinbase has been on quite a rally +235% since November. It has been consolidating really since the beginning of March. Expectations are for a big beat, this week may decide if its next leg is ready to start.


Wall Street is expecting EPS of .89c a significant 493.33% increase from the same quarter last year. Revenue is expected to be $1.2 billion, showing a +55.5% growth compared to the year-ago quarter.

COIN over 240 trades to 250,260,280. Under 210 pulls back to 190 and 180.

*None of these stocks above are recommendations to buy, sell or trade. We do not give financial advice, you should always do your own due diligence and practice proper risk management.*

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