Period of Transition ⏳

Due to growth concerns and tariff fears

Here’s a quick recap of Markets for the Week of March 14th, 2025 and what we are watching this week:

S&P 500 $SPY -2.3%

Nasdaq Composite $NDX -2.4%

Russell 2000 $IWM -1.5%

Dow Jones Industrial $DJI -3.1%

Fears about economic growth percolated after President Trump said in an interview that the economy is going through a "period of transition" and declined to answer directly if the U.S. will experience a recession.

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Key points from last week:

  • Trade war tensions - increased after President Trump announced that the US will impose a 50% tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports, instead of the originally proposed 25%. Trump also announced a potential 200% tariff on European beverage imports — including wine and spirits, in response to the European Union’s recent tariffs on American whiskey. 🔴

  • February’s Inflation data - was relatively positive (showing slight cooling) yet markets didn’t respond in kind due to the understanding that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target 🟡

S&P 500 Heat map for the week

S&P 500 Sector Performance for the week

🗓 The Week Ahead 🧐

Monday, March 17th - Friday, March 21st, 2025

Attention this week will be focused on:

  • FOMC Rate Announcement - The Fed is expected to wait for the dust to settle on the impact of tariffs and other policy changes, so no change in rates this time, even as expectations grow for a rate cut in June.


    - The FOMC meeting announcement is a policy statement issued at the conclusion of each meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. It offers updates on economic conditions with special focus on the health of the labor market and the latest on inflation. It also updates the status of the federal funds target which is the FOMC's official policy interest rate.

  • Existing Home Sales - Sales are seen at an annual 3.95 million unit rate in February, down from 4.08 million in January, suggesting a weakening market with consumers increasingly cautious.

    - Existing home sales tally the number of previously constructed homes, condominiums and co-ops in which a sale closed during the month. Existing homes (also known as home resales) account for a larger share of the market than new homes and indicate housing market trends.

Most Anticipated Earnings this week

🚨Trades Recap📈

(Blue arrows are our buy alerts, Red arrows are sell alerts)

$TSLA: Tesla from our watchlist last week gave us a nice +10% gain or +23% trading TSLL (Tesla’s 2x leveraged Bullish ETF). We are still in looking for continuation this week with our stop loss moved up but Bulls need to reclaim $250-$255 in order for that to happen.

$NVDA: Nvidia also triggered a trade as per our watchlist for +7.5% bounce or +18.5% trading NVDL (2x leveraged NVDA Bullish ETF).

🚨Our Watchlist 👨‍🏫

$SPY: S&P 500 finally saw some dip buyers to end the week after entering correction territory and tagging our 550 target we wrote about last week here.

Nothing really to get too excited about until Bulls reclaim 570-575.

With The Fed meeting on Wednesday, let’s see what Powell has to say regarding Trump’s tariff wars.

SPY over 565 look for 568,570,573,575,578. Under 558 pulls back to 555,552,550,545.

$AMZN: Amazon is down 18.5% since February and looking very interesting here as it pulled back to test it’s previous all time highs.

Assuming we do not go into a recession and consumers stay resilient, Amazon may be setting up for a great risk to reward add for long term investors.

AMZN over 202 look for 208,210,215,220. Under 190 look for 185,180,175.

$BABA: Alibaba is a chart that has been extremely strong the last couple of weeks as investors jumped to foreign markets for higher rates of return amid USA growth scare.

BABA is up +78% since January and has spent the last 4 weeks consolidating in a tight $130-$140 range. Now even though we’d like it better on a pullback, over $145 may start it’s next leg up.

BABA over 145 look for 150,160,170. Under 125 pulls back to 120,115,105,100.

$PLTR: Palantir Technologies our swing from under $25 may have found a short-term bottom after pulling back over 30% the last 4 weeks.

Now PLTR might take some time to revisit it’s previous $120 highs but it is setting up for a nice risk to reward bounce trade here.

PLTR reclaim of 90 look for 95,100,105,110. Under 75 sells down to 70,65,60,50

$RGTI: we noticed money shift back into the Quant sector late last week.

Note this sector is extremely volatile but here’s a high risk high reward setup we are watching this week.

RGTI over 11.50 has room to 12.50,14,16,18,20,25. Under 10 pulls back to 9,8,7

*None of these stocks above are recommendations to buy, sell or trade. We do not give financial advice, you should always do your own due diligence and practice proper risk management.*

If you are interested in seeing how we are looking to trade these names reply back or comment Swing Trades below for more information.

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